H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Quick Facts ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly considering that Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The path northward away from the Caribbean has ended up being less certain. Tammy was at first expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and exceptionally effective typhoon that triggered massive damage and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood defense system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as big areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon cautions have actually now been released for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the latest warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a hurricane that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has activated hurricane warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is only the third cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane experts previously cautioned cyclones could form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the exceptionally warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious risks and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy